Offstumped – Commentary on Indian Politics

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Politics and Public Policy in India

Of the unethical, the illegal and the politically untenable ….

Much fury has ensued over the alleged Mining Scam in Karnataka. The Ombdusman Mr. Santosh Hegde has not done himself much good with frequent emotional outbursts and the soundbites to the media well before the formal submission of the report being prepared by him. The episode in many ways calls to question the efficacy of the Institution of an Ombudsman against Corruption independent of the Government.

Mr. Hegde is accountable to none for his conduct in the media circus that has ensued before and after the leak.

Mr. Hegde is also accountable to none for his role in activism in Delhi with the Anna Hazare camp and the Congress President lead NAC while he was at the same  investigating  the BJP lead government in Karnataka.

Mr. Hegde will also be accountable to none long after he leaves office on whether his report mixed up the political with the criminal, the unethical with the illegal.

But this is post is not about Mr. Hegde but this post is about the BJP’s brazen strategy in Karnataka.

When this blogger first sought to draw a distinction between the unethical and the illegal in Karnataka it was to make the argument that even though Mr. Yeddyurappa’s actions were not illegal they were still unethical and hence merited corrective action. In a clever word play the BJP in the many weeks since the controversy first erupted turned that distinction on its head to argue that no action was required.

There was always going to be a short window of political opportunity to draw nuances between the unethical and the illegal. Wisdom would have dictated that having opened such a window of opportunity, the BJP could have made changes in Karnataka at a time and pace of its choosing thus avoiding the present situation.  Instead it is now stuck defending that nuance in the face of a high decibel media campaign where all distinctions blur thus reducing its political campaign against corruption to a Zero Sum Game.

BJP’s politics in the  states that have come to become its strongholds has followed a familiar trajectory where leaders who represented legitimate social interests had to over time make way for performers who then went on to consolidate power by delivering on Governance. This trajectory was witnessed in the transition from Keshubhai to Narendra Modi, Uma Bharati to Shivraj Chauhan and Shekhawat to Raje.

That Mr. Yeddyurrapa as a Leader represents real social interests in Karnataka is undisputed. But he also clearly lacks a temperament for Governance which is evident from his frequent emotional outbursts and his frequent invoking of god and places of faith. BJP was right to not have engineered a change via high command diktat from Delhi in the absence of a legitimate challenge to Mr. Yeddyurappa within the Legislative Party.

However the window of opportunity to capitalize on nuances is fast closing.

BJP in Karnataka needs its Narendra Modi who will clean up the Party and Government of special interests. It doesn’t matter if it is a “he” or a “she”, as long as that succession happens soon.

Filed under: Anna Hazare, Baba Ramdev, Karnataka Polls 2008, Narendra Modi, Nitin Gadkari

A Proposal on Electoral Reforms

The Constituent Assembly debates throw a fascinating light into the considerations that drove Nehru to argue against a Presidential form of government. While at  the state level the Constituent Assembly initially opted for a directly elected Governor even that proposition was subsequently diluted in favor of a parliamentary democracy in the state legislatures.

The current draft of the Constitution is quite clear that the President shall appoint as Chief Minister or Prime Minister he or she who enjoys the confidence of the House and is elected Leader of the House.

Given that the Supreme Court has ruled on multiple occassions that the basic structure of the Constitution cannot be altered we are stuck with little choice but to suffer a paralysed Governance and  frequent elections on account of fragmented Legislatures. Artificial solutions and undemocratic laws like the Anti-defection bill, the extra-constitutional interventions by partisan Speakers have not helped.

Here is a proposal from Offstumped which may help get around this problem while preserving the basic structure of the Constitution:

  • Let us add a single non-voting seat to every state legislative assembly and to the Lok Sabha
  • Let this single non-voting seat have for its constituency all eligible voters within that state or all of India which ever the case maybe
  • Let this seat go to polls like all the other Legsilative and Parliamentary constituencies
  • Let the person who gets elected to this seat be automatically considered the Leader of the House as he or she would be reflecting the collective will of all the voters of that Legislature
  • Since the seat is non-voting addition of this seat does not change the balance of power in the Legislature
  • Since the person elected to this seat is the Leader of the House, the Governor or the President will have to appoint that person as the Chief Minister or Prime Minister
  • Irrespective of whether a party or a combination of parties has a Legislative majority the Chief Minister or Prime Minister will have fixed term no different from the term of the Legislature
  • Removal of the Chief Minister of Prime Minister could now require a higher Legislative bar similar to a Presidential impeachment
  • The Constitution could then also be ammended to eliminate the anti-defection law as there is no question of defection to form an alternate government
  • The Chief Minister or Prime Minister could then have the freedom to appoint members to his Cabinet from outside the Legislature
  • The Legislature could then be solely focused on its twin responsibilities of Law making and keeping a Check on the Executive
  • Overall we could move towards a culture where the Executive is focused on Law enforcement and the Legislature on law making while both keep the Judiciary out of either responsibility thus reverting the original intent of the Constitution

Some would argue how is this proposal different from the current situation:

  • Legislative instability will not lead to an automatic fall of government. Impeachment would have a high bar
  • Legislators can no longer be induced by promise of power. In fact the Legislature will eventually return to is origjnal responsibility of law making.
  • A fragmented legislature could lead to gridlock. But then in the absence of anti-defection laws, a cultural shift could be effected where in Legislators can come together to propose bi-partisan Bills
  • The Executive will be free to function without worrying about Legislative instability for its survival.
  • A culture of direct accountability will be reinforced instead of this current disturbing trend by which Manmohan Singh, Nitish Kumar, Mayawati amongst others have taken the indirect route to holding Executive Office

No solution is perfect. But status quo is unacceptable. We cannot afford legislative instability and frequent elections, setting us back by paralyzing Governance.

We need Constitutional Reform and now is the time to force the issue.

In National Interest both the Congress and BJP should make common cause to push for this reform for it is in their interest more than the interest of Regional Parties to insulate their Governments from fragmented legislatures.

Filed under: Assembly Polls 2009, betrayal of aam admi, Constituent Assembly, Karnataka Polls 2008, Narendra Modi, Nitin Gadkari, Uncategorized, UPA-II Critical Appraisal

BJP Convention on Good Governance – Open Letter

Governance is not about running welfare schemes

Governance is about making the Institutions of the State deliver

all the time everytime for everyone

The BJP is holding a first of its kind National Convention on Good Governance at the Rambhau Mhalgi Prabodhini’s Knowledge-Excellence Centre at Bhainder near Mumbai between June 5th and and 6th 2010.

The convention was announced by former Goa CM and fellow IIT Mumba alumnus Manohar Parrikar who was also recently appointed as convenor of the BJP’s Governance cell.

The convention will be attended by Chief Ministers of BJP ruled states and others from NDA ruled states with Narendra Modi set to deliver the keynote.

Following is an Open Letter from Offstumped to the attendees of the Convention.

Dear BJP Chief Ministers and Leaders focused on Good Governance

As you get together in Mumbai to discuss Good Governance, I am reminded of a poem by an American Poet Ogden Nash.

The poem is titled “A Stitch too late is my fate” and builds on the famous proverb “a stitch in time saves nine” alluding to the Middle Class ethic of planning ahead to secure tomorrow.

I want to expand on this Middle Class ethic in the Indian Context and more specifically on why I think Institutional Reform must be the center piece of any agenda on Good Governance. I want to also highlight that without that Institutional Reform we will fail to chart the future for Young India.
  
Arun Shourieji writing in his latest book has given that profound message an Indian Context that all of us must reflect on.
 
Shourieji says that an extremely high price the country paid for starting the reforms late. And even these late reforms have taken place only in economic policy and not in administration and governance. Reforms in these fields are stonewalled because politicians don’t want to commit harakiri. One major problem before the country is the plethora of small parties who have their own narrow agendas and no national vision. Combined with the corrupt section of the business class, they derail even essential reforms. Shourie suggests that to bring about these mandatory changes, what is needed is a lobby for excellence.

There has been a lot of debate in our political world on the priorities of Government. Unlike Vajpayeeji’s NDA Government, Manmohan Singhji’s government has placed a higher priority on what it calls “Aam Admi” policies which have come at the expense of real development oriented reforms.
 
This government’s motto has been to postpone politically tough real reforms.
 
Instead this government has avoided the political challenges to pursue what at best can be called “feel good” policies by taking the easy way out of populism, thus postponing real reforms.
 
Unless we think “a stitch time in saves nine” we cannot muster the will for real Institutional reform .
 
I have no hesitation in saying that the BJP’s mission of Antyodaya cannot be realised unless there are Institutional reforms that make the system work all the time and everytime for everyone and not just the “Last Man Standing in the Queue”. 
 
It is only in a system that works all the time and for everyone can the poorest of poor be helped without being at the mercy of opportunistic politics.
 
This can only happen if Institutional Reform focuses on the areas of Economy, Local Governance and Education.
 
The UPA government has been very succesful in its pursuits of feel-good politics.
 
Thus a Right to Education bill is passed without real reform in maximizing educational opportunities for everyone through public and private means.
 
Tomorrow a Right to Food bill is being contemplated which too is aimed at making us all feel good without any real reform on the wastage and inefficiencies in the Public Distribution System.
 
Learned Policy Experts who are neutral and not associated with any political party have in recent days analyzed and exposed the fallacies of the UPA’s feel good policies.
 
Pratap Bhanu Mehtaji writing in the Indian Express has cautioned us on what he calls the diversionary tactics of the Government in ignoring Price rise and inflation which in part could have been contributed by the very same feel good policies touted by the Government from NREGA to the loan waivers.
 
Bibek Debroyji also writing in the Indian Express has also reminded us of the many failed promises of the UPA on reforms in the Food sector and how the UPA has failed accurately identify the Poor.
 
If there is one consistent message from these politically neutral experts, it is that the UPA’s feel good policies are deeply flawed and have come at the expense of real Institutional Reforms.
 
It is this postponement of reforms that has jeopardized our economic future as Pratap Bhanu Mehtaji puts it impacting not just the welfare schemes for the poor but also the costs of Education and other public services for the Middle Class.
 
Neutral experts are warning us that the Economic Success of past 2 decades the seeds of which were sown by Narasimha Raoji and which was harvested by Vajpayeeji’s government is at a grave risk on account of the UPA’s flawed policies and politics.
 
It is time for us to wake up before it is too late and to remind ourselves that a “stitch in time saves nine”.
 
Recently the Middle Class in Bangalore exploded many a myth about the BJP and Urban India by voting overwhelmingly for the BJP in the municipal polls. This should be taken as an opportunity for the BJP to distinguish itself in the area of Local Governance.  An important area of Urban Local Governance is Security and Police reforms. Unless Institutional reforms focused on building capacity we cannot win the war against Maoists or Islamists and the stray un-Hindu terrorist.
 
As a demonstration of your commitment to Good Governance the BJP should pledge to distinguish itself as the Party for Institutional Refors and the Party of Local Governance. 
 
Please pledge that you are ready to make tough political choices so we can bring in the Institutional Reforms we need urgently. 

Let us not forget what the experts are saying. The UPA is spending its way out of the gains of the last economic boom. Without Institutional Reforms there is little hope of incubating the next economic boom. Without either of these we will not be able to afford the welfare schemes needed to help the poorest of the poor for Antyodya.
 
With these words I enjoin you to think of  yourselves as a Lobby for Excellence as Arun Shourieji puts it and strive to dispel the “chalta hai” mindset in Governance and spread the message “ab nahi chalega”.

Regards

Filed under: ABIDE Bangalore, betrayal of aam admi, DesiPundit, economic freedom, Gujarat Polls 2007, India Elections 2009, jeetega-bharat, Karnataka Polls 2008, Local Governance, Narendra Modi, Nitin Gadkari, UPA-II Critical Appraisal

BJP wins Bangalore BBMP local polls

Latest twitter updates from August 2010

  • Bangalore’s local government released its first budget, but the BBMP website still lists last year’s budget http://is.gd/eLFH9 #FAIL
  • Bangalore BBMP budget – Rs 8400 crore outlay and free cycles http://is.gd/eLG91
  • Details of Bangalore BBMP’s first budget http://is.gd/eMdqy
  • Now why cant BBMP get Law Enforcement and Emergency response within its ambit as well ?

Original Blog Post

The BJP has won the Greater Bangalore Municipal Polls, BBMP by a significant margin.

According to state officials, out of the total 198 wards in BBMP, BJP won in 110, Congress in 61, JD(S) in 14 and others in seven, with six more results being awaited

The Bangalore Local Polls come after months of unseemly wrangling with the Supreme Court on the conduct of the polls and much factional intrigue within the Karnataka BJP months before.

Many factors perhaps have contributed to this BJP win which explodes many a myth about Urban voter preferences.

First on the myths.

Myth #1 – BJP’s declining appeal to the Urban voter – Bangalore win proves that the BJP’s Urban voter problems are mostly limited to Cities with higher percentage of Cosmo Urban voter (Delhi, Mumbai) and Cities which have seen a spike in Muslim demographics (Delhi, Jaipur).

That however is cold comfort for the BJP as Urban Migration effects demographic shifts its hold on urban strongholds with predominantly homogenous Hindu middle class demographic will come under stress.

Myth #2 – Rahul Gandhi factor swings Urban Youth vote – Rahul Gandhi factor has mostly been absent as far as Congress in Karnataka goes

On the contributing factors

#1 – There is a solid Hindu identity conscious Middle Class voter base for the BJP in Bangalore

#2 – Deve Gowda’s shennanigans on stalling progress on BMIC NICE Road have done the JD-S no good with this Middle Class voter

#3 – BJP continues to benefit from the relative credibility differential between infrastructure improvements and the lack of credible leadership from the Congress

The surprise of course is that the BJP managed to escape voter wrath despite months of factional intrigue, political bungling on local polls and the Bellary crony capitalist nexus. 

The combination of committed voter base and relative credibility clearly outweighed the negatives for the BJP.

It was heartening to note that Chief Minister BS Yeddyurappa talk of spending 22,500 crores on Bangalore and on legislating Bangalore Governance Act.

The proposed Bangalore Governance Act will have to be put under the scanner on the degree to which it fulfills the promise of the ABIDE initiative and the Bangalore Vision document.

But end of the day the bar must be set much higher.

Bangalore offers a unique opportunity for the BJP to differentiate itself on Urban Local Governance.

A beginning must be made on autonomy for the local government by making it directly accountable to the people of Bangalore and free of bureaucratic and political interference from the state government.

Postscript:

The Bangalore BBMP win also highlights the two sides of the Identity debate we have been having.

On the one hand hindu identity conscious middle class voter base held the day for the BJP despite all the wrangling and bungling.

On the other hand there was also a clear Center Right Agenda for Urban Local Governance that was manifested in ABIDE and Plan Bengaluru Vision.

To what degree either contributed to this win can be a matter of debate.

The key lessons to be drawn here are

#1 Mobilization based on Identity is not an end in itself, there has to be a credible agenda for governance that is derived from a coherent ideology.

#2 Also there are limits to Mobilization based on Identity. What works in Bangalore doesnt work in Delhi or Jaipur.

Hence the need for Socio-Economic engineering that considers economic factors going beyond Identity for better demographic targeting of Middle India.

Filed under: ABIDE Bangalore, Karnataka Polls 2008, Local Governance

RSS Now Playing on Offstumped Live

  • On Third Front day dreams and Uttar Pradesh nightmares – Wrap up Podcast March 14, 2012
    A podcast conversation with  @dubash (http://phalaka.com) where we wrap up the Uttar Pradesh polls discussion with a look at the final numbers and analysis of vote shares. We also look ahead on all the buzz around Akhilesh Yadav, the rise of the Samajwadi Party and all of the day-dreaming over a possible Third Front Government [...]
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Opinions expressed on this site using the alias Offstumped are the blogger's personal opinions and do not in any way reflect the views of the blogger's Employers.