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Politics and Public Policy in India

Pratap Bhanu Mehta on BJP and its affairs

Pratap Bhanu Mehta has an OpEd in the Indian Express today on the BJP this time with the upcoming National Executive in mind. PBM’s dissection of the BJP is mostly on the ball on how the Party in Delhi has been struggling to come to terms with the imperatives of a federal polity. PBM’s critique of the incoherence and drift in Delhi is brutal and perhaps rightly so. He goes on to lament the absence of a center to balance the federal divergence across states to then go on to paint a dismal picture for the BJP’s future.

There is one snag with PBM’s analysis though. Perhaps the OpEd was written before the recent spate of Opinion Polls but PBM fails to see a sliver of opportunity that is starting to open up within this opinion mass of doom and gloom.

Discounting the mandatory reference to 2002 and allies, PBM’s analysis on Narendra Modi misses the point on mass communication that has already happened albeit by default. The two Opinion polls – CNN-IBN and STAR-ABP confirm what was revealed earlier by the India Today Poll. The mainstream media and Narendra Modi’s detractors across the political spectrum have done the job for him building up a national profile by drawing him into campaigns where he had not even set foot – the recent Delhi MCD polls and the UP Polls are good examples of this.

Opinion Polls can be treacherous in a country like India and PBM is right, an effective mass campaign will have to go beyond the electronic medium and Urban India. Perhaps we will have to wait till after the 2012 Gujarat polls to see that.

It is interesting nevertheless to note  that, barring the customary objections, PBM is half convinced that the only mass leader with even half of a chance to get the BJP out of its rut is Narendra Modi.

Filed under: Offstumped

Hyderabad riots, Political flux in Andhra and BJP’s Telangana stance – OpEd in Pioneer

Originally published in The Pioneer. Also published earlier in Pioneer my challenge to the BJP to make the case for Telangana to rest of Andhra.

Background reading for this Column

The reactions from Muslim groups and MIM linking Sangareddy violence to Mahububnagar can be found here and here. Business Standard has a good summary of political turmoil within AP Congress. and the India Today on the Reddy Hindu Identity rhetoric from Congress. The BJP’s booklet on case for Telangana to Seemandhra residents can be found here.

(Also see bottom of the blog for  tailpiece on Beef controversy at Osmania University)

One of film actresses, Urmila Matondkar’s early breaks in the Telugu movie industry was a Ram Gopal Verma movie called Gaayam made in 1993. The movie also featured Revathi and a less nationally known male lead actor,Jagapathi Babu. While much of the storyline is said to have been inspired by The Godfather and other Western sources, there was an element of factual reality closer home on how communal riots were engineered in Hyderabad to force a Chief Minister out.

Hyderabad was witness to a series of incidents of communal rioting between 1990 and 1992 even as dissidence within the Congress saw three different Congress Chief Ministers within that span of three years. The strong correlation between weak Congress Chief Ministers in Andhra Pradesh and communal violence in Hyderabad is not limited to the early 1990s. Between 1980 and 1983, Andhra Pradesh saw a similar parade of weak Congress Chief Ministers being swapped from New Delhi and a highly controversial Congress-engineered coup against NT Rama Rao in 1984, with some of the worst incidents of communal rioting in Hyderabad.

Growing up as a child in Hyderabad, watching news of curfew being imposed onDoordarshan, was a favourite pastime, for one of our Mathematics teachers would invariably have to skip showing up to work. Curfew in Hyderabad those days meant there was always the outside chance of either school being closed or a free period. The incidents of communal rioting in Hyderabad were not funny anymore as we grew up to come to terms with its grim reality in the early 1990s. During the 1990 violence another Mathematics teacher was booked under the Terrorist and Disruptive Activities (Prevention) Act and put away without bail, for the only crime of being a Hindu in his twenties in an area of the old city that saw violence against Muslims.

Hyderabad once again in the past week saw deliberately provoked incidents of communal violence. Some have attempted to attribute it to VHP leader Pravin Togadia’s earlier presence in that city, which in the opinion of this columnist is a naïve and superficial reading of the dynamics that are shaping up in Andhra Pradesh. The State once again is witness to a weak Congress Chief Minister with no real base. There are a number of powerful lobbies of current and former Congressmen that have been at the receiving end of a variety of court and CBI interventions with their commercial interests around Hyderabad and political interests elsewhere under threat. Last but not the least there is a new political dynamic that is emerging that is unsettling many from the Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen to the Telangana Rashtra Samithi.

The communal incidents of the past week in Hyderabad must not be seen in isolation given the anxiety expressed by the MIM and other Muslim groups even before these incidents. Sangareddy, about 50km to the west of Hyderabad, saw communal incidents in the weeks leading up to the incidents in Hyderabad. In both Sangareddy and Hyderabad, there was deliberate provocation in the name of insult to religious symbols of one kind or another. But what is curious is the line pushed by the MIM and the so-called Muslim civil rights groups, both of whom linked the communal flare-up to the BJP’s surprise win in a bypoll election to the State Assembly in a different district of the Telangana region — Mahabubnagar.

The Congress and the Telugu Desam Party have declined in the Telangana region for some time now over the T-State issue. What is, however, interesting about the Mahabubnagar contest is that it was the first time that there was a competitive election between pro-Telangana parties since the movement for joint political action for a separate Telangana State emerged. The margin of victory for the BJP in Mahabubnagar may have been narrow, but it is significant that the BJP managed to hold its own against the TRS in a Telangana seat with a large concentration of Muslim population. Hence, the angst of the MIM and other Muslim groups is highly understandable.

This columnist had many months back lamented that the movement in support of a separate Telangana State had to first make its case to the rest of Andhra. This columnist had also lamented that, despite the churning in Andhra politics and the fragmentation of political parties, the BJP had failed to produce a leader who could reach beyond the regional divide to chart a new course. This past week the BJP’s young chief in Andhra Pradesh, G Kishan Reddy, released a 14 page booklet in Telugu, making a direct socio-economic case to the people of Rayalseema and Andhra on why a regional bifurcation of the State would not hurt their interest but instead create new opportunity. It was heartening to see him actually take up the challenge of making a positive case for Telangana to the rest of Andhra by touring both regions.

It is too early to say if the BJP’s Mahabubnagar win was an anomaly or a leading indicator of the undercurrents in play in Telangana. One thing is, however, clear: The political ferment within the Congress in Andhra has reached its rotten limit, with factions going at each other within the party and beyond. Chandrababu Naidu’s Telugu Desam Party seems to also be scripting its path to increasing irrelevance with its failure to take a clear stance on Telangana while continuing to be mired in family feuds within NTR’s extended family.

The political environment in Andhra Pradesh is in a flux, putting a State that sends the highest number of Congress MPs in play for the first time in decades, opening up the possibility of a new configuration to emerge.

How far the BJP will gain in this environment, is an open question, but it may have found a new rising star in young Kishan Reddy who has shown a proclivity for engaging on policy issues in the past and has now shown the conviction to take a bold and enlightened stance on the Telangana issue.

Tailpiece on Beef controversy in Osmania University

The Beef controversy in Osmania University is unfortunate. It is one thing to argue a case for the private right to consumer beef quite another to make a public spectacle out of it with the deliberate aim of drawing controversy. The ABVP too has acted foolishly walking into the trap here resulting in violence on campus. Between the Telangana issue and these contrived controversies it is an open question what kind of academics gets done in Osmania University these days. This entire sequence of events is another reason why organized politics on campus needs to be clamped down completely. The IITs have the most meaningful model for student governance within the campus where there is room for robust debate and democracy but without any role for political parties.

On the Beef issue without getting into the Historical context and the geographical differences on attitudes towards it suffices to say the following:

Most legislation in India is against commercial Cow slaughter and transportation and trade facilitating it. It is a slippery slope to go from this position to attempt to Criminalize the Possession or Consumption of Beef.

It is just as well in a Federal polity like India for a Local Community or state  to prohibit cow slaughter or commerce around it while other states and communities retain the right to not do so.

Beyond this any arguments against Private Consumption of Beef need to be in the socio-cultural realm with no role for Politics or Government.

Also read on the same topic from Offstumped Archives 2008 – Flat World Hindutva on Individual Freedom and Socio-economic choice and on Liberty and Licentiousness.

Filed under: federalism, Flat World Hindutva, Offstumped, Telangana

Delhi’s MCD Polls – Sheila Dixit versus Narendra Modi

Delhi goes to local polls with a Trifurcated Local Body structure for the first time. It is ironical that Delhi that is the seat for all 3 layers of Government has had a sorry track record on local governance. While news of horrific crimes against against women routinely make the headlines shaming us, the past many years have seen continuous tension between the state government and the local government on a host of issues from how traffic must be managed to how the local body must be structured. More than statehood perhaps Delhi needed a directly elected Mayor and a local government with the maximum devolution of power as the single point of accountability to its people. Instead it has three dysfunctional ayers of governance with a Mayor to manage the City, a Chief Minister to lord over its mega infrastructure and a Union Home Minister to police its roads.

It is anybody’s guess at this time if the trifurcated local body structure will do much to fix this multi-layer governance structure but it is funny how politicized the elections to these local bodies have gotten with Delhi Chief Minister and Congress leader Sheila Dixit dragging Gujarat Chief Minister and BJP leader Narendra Modi into it.

The local politics in Delhi have always had a huge symbolic significance. The BJP’s clout in Delhi once reflected its broader appeal to the Urban Middle Class. Successive elections at the Lok Sabha and the state level have however seen the BJP gradually decline with the Congress establishing absolute lock on Delhi’s Lok Sabha seats while beating incumbency in the Vidhan Sabha polls. The Municipal polls were the only remaining bastion for the BJP that managed to keep its hold on local governance while coming up with another Vision document this time around.

It is curious that Sheila Dixit should raise the  Narendra Modi in a local election in Delhi. Whether it does the BJP any good in the local poll is an open question, but it does confirm that Congress Leaders are Narendra Modi’s best Brand Ambassadors. With their belligerent rhetoric and tendency to draw Mr. Modi into remote election campaigns they are turning these elections into a referendum on Mr. Modi without the need for him to even step out of Gujarat and campaign.

It is perhaps desperation on the Congress’ part for a lock on the Muslim vote that Sheila Dixit had to suffer a “Maut ka Saudagar” moment. The casualty here clearly  is the real issue of how Delhi’s roads and communities must be governed.

Filed under: Delhi Polls 2008, Narendra Modi, Offstumped

Rural change in Gujarat – Minimum Government, Maximum Governance in action

Originally published in The Pioneer. Meera Sanyal’s blogs on life in Gujarat’s Villages can be found below. Also don’t miss the tailpiece at the end.

- The Catalysts of Baroi

- Charity begins at home

- Villages of Mehsana

- Haribhai of Kiyadar and the Blue Revolution

- Hamlets of Meghraj

Gujarat’s economic success in recent years has been widely written about. Its performance on agriculture has also been widely reported. Beyond the mega projects and macro-statistics is a story of change at the grass-roots level that has not been as widely reported or appreciated. Given the polarities that any discussion on Gujarat draws, it is no surprise that a narrative on change deep inside rural Gujarat has not emerged from the mainstream media. In fact, much of the commentary on Gujarat in the mainstream media remains hostage to stereotypes and shallow analysis that seeks to reinforce previously held biases and prejudices over that State’s Chief Minister, Mr Narendra Modi.

To find more interesting and deeper analysis on Gujarat that comes free of bias or the mandatory politically correct references to the 2002 violence, one has to go beyond the shallow world of Indian news media. It thus was no surprise that one of the authentic from-the-ground reportage on transformation in rural Gujarat, comes not from a news organisation but from a public intellectual with no hard political affiliation. Meera Sanyal first made news back in 2009 during the Lok Sabha election, contesting as an Independent candidate. Since then she has been in the news, associated with a variety of public causes including most recently championing a slate of citizen candidates in the Mumbai local poll. RBS Foundation, a NGO associated with RBS India Bank headed by Ms Sanyal has been involved in a variety of rural initiatives. Over a series of four blog posts Ms. Sanyal recounts her first hand experiences from different parts of Gujarat on her personal website http://meerasanyal.wordpress.com.

The space in this column would not be enough to go over all the details shared by Ms Sanyal, but it would be in order to highlight four aspects of her findings. The first aspect is the spirit of enterprise that comes through all of her first-hand accounts. The second is the under-appreciated ethic of low to no dependence on Government in finding local solutions to local problems. The third is a grass-roots validation of near 100 per cent success claimed by some of the macro development initiatives. The fourth is, of course, on the ground that remains to be covered in the last mile of service delivery and rural governance.

From the villagers of Mehsana to the farmers of Sabarkantha, the spirit of enterprise is ubiquitous across Ms Sanyal’s accounts. Particularly striking is the account from a village in Sabarkantha called Navagraha and the story of Babu Bhai and Jaya Ben, where entrepreneurship through a self-help group became a second source of income to help finance an additional third source of income, even as their first source of income, which was agriculture, was looking to leverage market forces to be viable. It comes as no surprise, as Ms Sanyal herself observes, that farmers don’t need protection. Instead, they need to start thinking of themselves as entrepreneurs with access to a genuine level playing field.

The same spirit of enterprise comes through from the various villages of Mehsana with varying degrees of effectiveness, from dairy farming to animal husbandry to vermiculture.

Much of the discourse in our mainstream media is about Government, more dependence on Government. Since 2004, this dependence on Government has assumed an even greater proportion thanks to the Left liberal agenda pushed by the Sonia Gandhi-led National Advisory Council. By passing a series of laws that have created a long list of ‘rights-based entitlements’, the UPA Government has gone about deliberately fostering a culture of entitlement and a mindset of dependence on Government. It was, therefore, heartening to see that deep inside the villages of Gujarat there is still that ethic of seeking local solutions to local problems, with local communities taking responsibility to reduce the burden on Government and in the process limiting their own dependence on officialdom.

From Ms Sanyal’s detailed account of Hari Bhai of Kiyaadar and the Blue Revo- lution we see ‘minimum Government, maximum governance’ in action. Reading through Ms Sanyal’s narrative of the Blue Revolution, I was reminded of the Forest Rights Act, and the multiple parallel layers of governance it introduced by which individual and community claims would be on land use. The approach of local self- governance adopted for water management in the villages Meshana is the exact opposite of the top down governance model that the NAC Left liberals have been seeking to enforce through a variety of Legislations.

In Ms Sanyal’s words the governance model here is local, voluntary and mutually beneficial, and a great example of how grass-roots governance can grow to scale. The reduced burden of administration on the Government also earned the villages a rebate from the State Government on water cess to every village with a Pani Panchayat (or WAU), and to all villages that were members of a Canal Federation. The ethic of moving away from dependence on Government also comes through from examples in Sabarkantha, where villagers, who initially depended on the benefits from MGNREGA, finding a second source of income by creating a cooperative enterprise through a self-help group.

Every one of the villages Ms Sanyal validates had electricity. But as is to be expected, the last mile of service delivery and rural governance continues to be work in progress, with many areas still needing attention, from basic zoning and planning to toilets in every home.

As Gujarat goes to polls later this year, it will be interesting to see if the State will defy conventional wisdom to demonstrate that reduced dependence on Government, local self-governance and co-operative models of enterprise as an alternative to Government-sponsored job guarantee schemes, can be good politics as well.

Tailpiece (not in the original column and unrelated to Meera Sanyal’s blogs): 

Much is made on the lack of coherence and clarity of the Indian Right by the so called “secular right”. A secular policy regime that

fosters the Spirit of Enterprise

encourages a reduced dependence on Government

creates incentives for finding local solutions to local problems

is about Center Right as one can get.

Will our sanctimonious “secular right” pass the “smell test” on recognizing this ?

Filed under: Gujarat Polls 2012, Narendra Modi, Offstumped

RSS Now Playing on Offstumped Live

  • On Third Front day dreams and Uttar Pradesh nightmares – Wrap up Podcast March 14, 2012
    A podcast conversation with  @dubash (http://phalaka.com) where we wrap up the Uttar Pradesh polls discussion with a look at the final numbers and analysis of vote shares. We also look ahead on all the buzz around Akhilesh Yadav, the rise of the Samajwadi Party and all of the day-dreaming over a possible Third Front Government [...]
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